ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI KONSISTENSI PERENCANAAN DAN PENGANGGARAN DI KABUPATEN BANGKA (DALAM PERSPEKTIF NEW INSTITUTIONAL ECONOMICS)


Oleh: Hendra Tris Tomy

ABSTRAK
Tujuan penelitian ini adalah (1) menganalisis pengaruh variabel regulasi, transparansi, perilaku opportunistik, kompensasi dan hukuman, peran dan fungsi legislatif, serta informasi dan komunikasi terhadap konsistensi perencanaan dan penganggaran di Kabupaten Bangka secara parsial maupun simultan dalam perspektif New Institutional Economic (NIE), dan (2) untuk mengetahui faktor yang paling dominan pengaruhnya terhadap konsistensi perencanaan dan penganggaran di Kabupaten Bangka.

Teknik pengambilan sampel dilakukan dengan purposive sampling. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah regresi logistik biner (Binary Logistic Regression). Pengujian akurasi model regresi digunakan untuk menilai akurasi model regresi, dalam penelitian ini diukur dengan nilai Chi-Square dengan Uji Hosmer dan Lemeshow.

Hasil analisis regresi logistik biner diperoleh bahwa variabel independen yang terdiri dari variabel regulasi, variabel transparansi, variabel perilaku opportunistik, variabel kompensasi dan hukuman, variabel peran dan fungsi legislatif serta variabel informasi dan komunikasi secara simultan berpengaruh signifikan terhadap konsistensi perencanaan dan penganggaran di Kabupaten Bangka. Secara parsial, variabel kompensasi dan hukuman tidak berpengaruh terhadap konsistensi perencanaan dan penganggaran.

Dari hasil uji ekspektasi B diketahui bahwa variabel peran dan fungsi legislatif mempunyai probabilitas terbesar dalam mempengaruhi konsistensi perencanaan dan penganggaran di Kabupaten Bangka.

Kata kunci: Konsistensi perencanaan dan penganggaran, regresi logistik biner, New Institutional Economic.


ABSTRACT
The purpose of this Research is; (1) to analyze the effect of regulator variables, transparency, opportunistic behavior, compensation and punishment, the role and legislative function, as well as information and communication to the consistency of planning and budgeting in Bangka Regency partially and simultaneously in the perspective of new institutional economics (NIE), and (2) to determine the most dominant influence on consistency of planning and budgeting in the District of Bangka.

Sample selecting and gathering technique in this research is done with purposive sampling. The method used in this research is Binary Logistic Regression and the accuracy test of regression models used to assess accuracy of regression model of which measured using Chi-Square value with Hosmer and Lemeshow test.

Binary logistic regression analysis showed that independent variable which consists of regulatory variable, transparency variable, opportunistic behavior variable, compensation and punishment variable, roles and functions of the legislature variable as well as information  and communication variable simultaneously have significant effect on the consistency of planning and budgeting in Bangka Regency. Partially, variable compensation and punishment does not affect the consistency of planning and budgeting.

From results of B expectation test is known that the role and functions of the legislature variable has the highest probability in its affect towards the consistency of planning and budgeting in the District of Bangka.

Key words: Consistency of planning and budgeting, binary logistic regression, the new institutional economics